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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Zone Start Effects on Stats

Wed, 01 Feb 2012 17:14:49 +0000

davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Zone Start Effects on Stats Over the past week or so I have talked about a simple and straight forward method for taking into account variations in zone starts . The method is to simply ignore the 10 seconds following an offensive or defensive face off. By adjusting for zone starts in this manner we can see a fairly significant impact on [...]

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Zone Start Effects on Stats

Wed, 01 Feb 2012 17:14:49 +0000

davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Zone Start Effects on Stats Over the past week or so I have talked about a simple and straight forward method for taking into account variations in zone starts. The method is to simply ignore the 10 seconds following an offensive or defensive face off. By adjusting for zone starts in this manner we can see a fairly significant impact

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Stats.hockeyanalysis.com updated

Tue, 31 Jan 2012 13:16:56 +0000

davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Stats.hockeyanalysis.com updated Just wanted to let you know that I have finally updated stats.hockeyanalysis.com to include 2011-12 data though I have not yet included multi-year data that includes 2011-12. I have also included in this updated zone start adjusted data which adjusts for zone starts by not considering the 10 seconds following an offensive/defensive zone faceoff . I have included [...]

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Stats.hockeyanalysis.com updated

Tue, 31 Jan 2012 13:16:56 +0000

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davidjohnson commented on the blog post Corsi vs Shooting %: Gomez vs Cammalleri

Sun, 29 Jan 2012 13:33:39 +0000

davidjohnson commented on the blog post Corsi vs Shooting %: Gomez vs Cammalleri Yes, you came up with a wonderful reason why Gomez's line takes more shots. Now please explain why his line can't score on those shots.

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Corsi vs Shooting %: Gomez vs Cammalleri

Sat, 28 Jan 2012 16:06:14 +0000

davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Corsi vs Shooting %: Gomez vs Cammalleri I have been having a discussion as to whether shot quality exists over at Pension Plan Puppets and more precisely whether certain players can drive a teams shooting percentage while they are on the ice. As part of the discussion I brought up the on-ice shooting percentage differences between Scott Gomez and Michael Cammalleri and decided that [...]

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Corsi vs Shooting %: Gomez vs Cammalleri

Sat, 28 Jan 2012 16:06:14 +0000

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davidjohnson commented on the blog post Evaluating the Leafs Defensemen

Sat, 28 Jan 2012 04:14:19 +0000

davidjohnson commented on the blog post Evaluating the Leafs Defensemen Clearly Chicago, a true Cup contender, thinks it was a good signing and thinks he was worth trading for. Your argument that because Calgary traded him means he must be a bad signing is just silly. The Flames are realizing they can't make a serious run this season and as a result too the opportunity [...]

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Evaluating the Leafs Defensemen

Thu, 26 Jan 2012 15:44:15 +0000

davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Evaluating the Leafs Defensemen With the re-signing of John-Michael Liles the Leafs now have an abundance of defensemen signed under control for a number of years, many with big dollar contracts too. We all have our varying opinions on the relative values of each of these defensemen but I thought it would be an appropriate time to take a [...]

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Evaluating the Leafs Defensemen

Thu, 26 Jan 2012 15:44:15 +0000

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Importance of Quality of Competition/Teammates

Wed, 25 Jan 2012 19:37:52 +0000

davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Importance of Quality of Competition/Teammates Whenever I get into a statistical debate over which player might be better than another the inevitable argument that comes up is "yeah, but player A plays against tougher competition and gets tougher assignments" which is a valid argument to make. But how valid? The other day I looked at a simple, straight forward method for accounting [...]

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Importance of Quality of Competition/Teammates

Wed, 25 Jan 2012 19:37:52 +0000

davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Importance of Quality of Competition/Teammates Whenever I get into a statistical debate over which player might be better than another the inevitable argument that comes up is “yeah, but player A plays against tougher competition and gets tougher assignments” which is a valid argument to make. But how valid? The other day I looked at a simple, straight forward method

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Adjusting for Zone Starts

Mon, 23 Jan 2012 16:36:22 +0000

davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Adjusting for Zone Starts One of the biggest omissions in my player rankings is making adjustments for zone start differences. We know that Manny Malhotra has a significant bias towards starting his shifts in the defensive zone and that his teammates Daniel and Henrik Sedin have a significant bias towards starting their shifts in the offensive zone. The result is Malhotra will [...]

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Adjusting for Zone Starts

Mon, 23 Jan 2012 16:36:22 +0000

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davidjohnson commented on the blog post State of Brian Burke’s Leafs

Thu, 19 Jan 2012 15:13:53 +0000

davidjohnson commented on the blog post State of Brian Burke’s Leafs I agree with this. It really is time for Wilson to go but so far Burke stands behind his coach and so long as he is doing that he essentially is blaming the players for the mediocrity. So, as a fan, I look at the guy who brought in the players and/or the guy who [...]

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: State of Brian Burke's Leafs

Wed, 18 Jan 2012 22:12:19 +0000

davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: State of Brian Burke's Leafs Brian Burke joined the Leafs in November of 2008. When he joined the Leafs he insisted he has no interest in a 5 year rebuild and expected he could make the team competitive much sooner. Let's evaluate how Burke has done in his tenure as GM of the Maple Leafs. 2007-08 2011-12 GAA 3.08 (27th) 3.03 (27th) SV% 89.3 (29th) 90.1 (24th) GFA 2.74 (11th) [...]

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: State of Brian Burke’s Leafs

Wed, 18 Jan 2012 22:12:19 +0000

davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: State of Brian Burke’s Leafs Brian Burke joined the Leafs in November of 2008. When he joined the Leafs he insisted he has no interest in a 5 year rebuild and expected he could make the team competitive much sooner. Let’s evaluate how Burke has done in his tenure as GM of the Maple Leafs. 2007-08 2011-12 GAA 3.08 (27th)

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: History of Poor Defensive Teams making Playoffs

Sun, 15 Jan 2012 15:24:37 +0000

davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: History of Poor Defensive Teams making Playoffs Not sure what led me to look into this but I took a look at poor defensive teams making the playoffs in the eastern conference. Over the past 3 seasons there have been just 6 teams to make the playoffs in the eastern conference with goals against averages greater than 2.80. They are: Tampa Bay Lightning [...]

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: History of Poor Defensive Teams making Playoffs

Sun, 15 Jan 2012 15:24:37 +0000

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davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Schenn vs Van Riemsdyk: Do you make the trade?

Sat, 14 Jan 2012 16:50:52 +0000

davidjohnson wrote a new blog post: Schenn vs Van Riemsdyk: Do you make the trade? There has been a lot of talk over the last 24 hours about the possibility of the Maple Leafs trading Luke Schenn to the Philadelphia Flyers for James van Riemsdyk? Personally, I'd seriously consider it and probably do it, but lets take a look at the numbers. Luke Schenn HARO+ HARD+ FenHARO+ FenHARD+ Ozone% 2011-12 1.19 0.85 0.94 0.83 45.7% 2010-11 1.05 0.89 1.02 0.94 51.1% 2009-10 1.19 0.85 1.05 0.96 51.7% 2008-09 0.97 0.82 1.06 0.89 53.2% For those who don't know what these [...]

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